Minnesota sharpens modeling estimates of COVID-19

Social distancing isn't working as well as originally predicted in the COVID-19 pandemic, but it will still help protect Minnesota from the highly infectious coronavirus, new state modeling research has shown.

A statewide stay-at-home order has reduced the predicted number of COVID-19 deaths, researchers from the University of Minnesota and the Minnesota Department of Health reported Wednesday. However, the order reduced face-to-face contact and disease transmission by 55%, compared with the 80% projected in earlier modeling.

https://www.startribune.com/minnesota-s-social-distancing-falling-short-of-projections/570437952/